Commonwealth Games Medal Optimizer
See how your nation could perform at the next Commonwealth Games. Adjust funding and discover which sports might bring home the most medals.
Country Profile
Investment Allocation (100 points)
Projected Medal Table
Adjust the controls and click Calculate to see projected medals.
Saved Scenarios
No saved scenarios yet. Run a simulation and click Save Scenario.
How the model works
The simulator uses historical medal data from past Commonwealth Games, combined with population and GDP, to estimate a nation's base medal potential. Then it adjusts for the investment points you allocate to each sport. A sport with higher historical success for that country gets a bigger boost from investment.
We assume diminishing returns: doubling investment does not double medals. The model also includes a small random factor to reflect unpredictable events like weather or injuries.
Example scenarios
- Jamaica (sprinting focus): With 70 points in Athletics, the model projects 12 medals, mostly in track events.
- India (diversified): Spreading points across Shooting, Badminton, and Wrestling yields a broader medal count.
- Small island nation: A population under 1 million with moderate GDP can still target niche sports like Weightlifting.
Common mistakes
Don't ignore population size. A tiny nation cannot win dozens of medals even with perfect funding. Also, avoid putting all points into one sport if that sport has few medal events.
Assumptions and caveats
The model does not know about recent coaching changes, athlete retirements, or political instability. It treats all nations equally aside from the inputs you provide. Always treat the output as a starting point for discussion.